Are we alone? OR:
Are there billions of advanced lifeforms in the
universe?
A. PERSPECTIVE
The most powerful impact of astronomy on popular thinking in the last 150 years
concerns something that it hasn't discovered yet and possibly
never will: ALIENS.
The two questions listed at the top of the page frame the
possibilities for the existence of other advanced species in the
universe.
When you combine the ideas of life and the universe
you reach a stunning conclusion no matter which way you argue:
The total number of stars in the observable universe
is of order 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 (or 1022).
Therefore:
If you believe Earth and humanity are special, uniquely
fortunate or specially created (the "pre-Copernican" view), then we are
ALONE in this unimaginably vast cosmos.
If you believe we are average (the "Copernican" view), then
the universe TEEMS with billions of advanced lifeforms.
Most astronomers subscribe to the latter view---that conditions on
Earth are typical (or at least not uncommon)---which implies that
extraterrestrial life is widespread and that there are many advanced
lifeforms.
This is not just a modern point of view. It goes back to the
ancient Greeks and was historically advocated by many other writers,
e.g. Huygens, the discoverer of Saturn's moon Titan. See this translation of his book Cosmotheoros.
"What a wonderful and amazing Scheme have we here of the
magnificent Vastness of the Universe! So many Suns, so many
Earths..."
--- Christiaan Huygens (1698)
Two remarkable discoveries in the 1990's lend credence to this picture:
1995: The discovery of
planetary systems around nearby stars (see Guide 11). Apparently,
many stars like the Sun have planets. Although we have only detected
Jupiter-size planets so far, not Earth-like ones, most astronomers are
confident that Earth-like planets will be found once the technology
permits that.
April 2009 Breaking News! French astronomers have just announced the discovery of a planet with 1.9 Earth
masses in orbit around the nearby star Gliese 581. This exoplanet is
the closest yet to an Earth analogue. Gliese 581 has five identified
planets, one of which lies in the "habitable zone".
1996: Evidence suggesting the presence of fossil microorganisms on Mars (see Guide 17).
This claim is highly controversial. But right or wrong, it has
stimulated the development of vigorous research in the rapidly growing
field of "Astrobiology." Independent evidence indicates the presence
of large amounts of water on Mars at earlier times.
These two breakthroughs, coming nearly simultaneously after hundreds
of years of speculation, have changed the whole character of
the study of exterrestrial life.
B. LIFE ON EARTH
Age: ~ 3 billion years
Basis: random chemical interactions, governed by natural physical
principles. No special "vital force" required.
The laws of physics and chemistry that govern the structure
and functioning of organic systems are exactly the same as
those that govern inorganic systems.
Unity: Despite extraordinary diversity, there is only
ONE type of terrestrial life at the molecular level
A small set of chemical building blocks (large molecules
constructed from abundant atoms like H,C,N,O, a few others)
Key constituent is carbon, which offers 4 chemical bonds as
the basis of complex molecules
Nucleic acids (DNA, RNA): provide information storage &
chemical control for molecular reproduction
C. EVOLUTION
The proliferation and diversification of lifeforms is produced by evolution through natural selection for
better adapted types (Darwin, Wallace 1858)
The basic principle of evolution is very simple: those organisms
that are best adapted by their genetic makeup to a given environment
thrive and pass those favorable genetics on to subsequent generations.
Dispersion in genetic material in each generation is guaranteed by
chemical mutations; mutations that are accidentally favorable are
amplified by natural selection and propagate forward into modified
species. On Earth, there have been hundreds of millions of
generations preceding the familiar lifeforms we see around us. The
consequent adaptation to an immense variety of environmental
niches is profound.
Despite the raging "creationism," "intelligent design," and other
controversies surrounding Darwinian evolution that get prominence in
the media, biological evolution is as well established a basic
fact of science as any other, e.g. that Earth is a planet or that
the Sun is a star.
All the basic "predictions" of Darwinian evolution have been
thoroughly confirmed in the last 150 years of biology, physics,
astronomy, geophysics, and paleontology. The evidence is
overwhelming.
E.g.: the fossil record is now fabulously rich (250,000
species)---vastly more so than in Darwin's day---and clearly shows the
radical change of lifeforms on Earth through time.
E.g.: geological age-dating by radioactive isotopes is now
highly accurate and graphically reveals the enormous stretch of time
over which evolution on Earth has been working.
E.g.: the mechanisms by which inherited characteristics are
passed from one generation to the next were mysterious in Darwin's time
but are now thoroughly understood (genetics), as are the causes of the
mutations that engender changes in species.
E.g.: DNA mapping has recently demonstrated astonishing chemical
similarities between humans and other higher lifeforms. We share
98.8% of our genes with chimpanzees.
Humans are part of a
continuum of life on Earth, not a special class.
This is probably the most stringest test of evolutionary biology ever
made, and it passed with flying colors. Darwin, Huxley, and the other
leading biologists up to 50 years ago could not have imagined how
precise or conclusive such chemical tests of the evolutionary
principle could be.
The astronomical evidence for evolution of the universe and its
contents over a period of 10-15 billion years is as strong as, but
entirely independent of, the biological & paleontological evidence for
evolution of life on Earth.
E.g.: detailed measurements of the brightnesses & colors of stars in
star clusters permit us to age-date their formation times. These
range from about 10 million years for clusters in active star-forming
regions to 13 billion years in the case of "globular clusters" like M80.
E.g.: by using powerful telescopes to study the Hubble Deep Field and other distant regions,
astronomers can observe the universe as it was billions of years
ago. No other field of science is able to make such direct
observations of the distant past. Not only can we see the past, we
also can determine how different the contents of the universe were at
earlier times and trace how they change with "lookback time." There is
no doubt that the universe has evolved.
E.g.: spacecraft observations of the cosmic background radiation
from the Big Bang have recently determined the age of the universe to
be 13.7 billion years.
Controversies over the reality of evolution are confined to political,
religious, & education circles.
They
are not important among active scientists, who accept evolution
as a foundation of modern science. Scientists involve themselves in
these controversies only insofar as they try to protect the integrity
of their disciplines and of science education from political
intrusion.
In these debates, evolution is often mistakenly conflated with the
question of the origin of life on Earth. Scientists do not
presently have a good understanding of how (or even whether) life
originated on Earth. That discussion is hypothetical. The evidence
for evolution (that is, for a change over time) of lifeforms on
Earth, however, is entirely independent of the question of life's
origins. You do not have to know where a sapling came from in
order to know that a tree is growing.
Most anti-evolution arguments are conceptually medieval. You
can disregard evolution only if you are prepared to disregard
the rest of modern science and scientific thinking.
Beware of those who urge you to do this.
D. ORIGIN OF LIFE ON EARTH?
Molecular evolution from simple, abundant, pre-organic chemicals
Probably in oceans; energy sources: solar radiation, volcanic
vents, lightning....
Lab simulation: classic Miller-Urey experiment ===> sugars, amino acids, DNA
bases generated in a few days from pre-biotic ingredients. This
demonstrated how easy it is to start a chemical synthesis sequence
that can lead to organisms.
Note that organic molecules thrive even in ostensibly
hostile environments: meteorites, interstellar clouds
For 3/4 of its history, life on Earth consisted only of very
simple organisms, entirely unlike the profusion of advanced types seen
today.
Alternative: panspermia (seeding of Earth from an
external source, accidental or deliberate)
The notion of panspermia simply pushes the question of how life
originated back one level. Panspermia has occasionally been very
controversial, but at present there is no way to decide whether life
originated on Earth itself or came here from elsewhere.
An obvious way for lifeforms to propagate in a given planetary system
is through comets or meteoroids, as the "SNC" meteorites from
Mars vividly demonstrate. Meteoroids could have spread Mars life
to Earth or vice versa.
For more information on panspermia, click
here.
E. LIFE ELSEWHERE IN OUR SOLAR SYSTEM
Are there plausible biospheres elsewhere in the Solar System?
Requirements:
Raw materials;
Dense medium (preferably WATER, but other liquids/dense gases possible);
Protected environment, maintained in appropriate temperature/pressure range;
Energy source;
Sufficient TIME (100 Myr-1 Byr?)
Habitable Zone:
For a particular type of parent body (terrestrial planet, Jovian
planet, comet), we can define a habitable zone as those
distances from the parent star for which that type can offer
a comfortable biosphere, neither too hot nor too cold, for life to
develop. Click here for an illustration of zones for Earthlike
planets.
In the solar system, the habitable zone for Earthlike planets ranges
from about 0.95 AU to 1.5 AU. For Jovian planets, it would be much
larger---but we aren't sure that life can thrive on Jovian planets.
Possibilities:
Venus: no! High temperature and corrosive atmosphere sufficient
to sterilize surface of all Earth-like life.
Mars: plausible evidence for biosphere > 1 Byr ago with abundant
water; SNC meteorites provide some evidence
for microorganisms. Too cold and dry now for life? Absence of ozone
in atmosphere allows damaging solar UV flux at surface.
Jupiter, Saturn atmospheres? Results from the Galileo probe (1995) were not promising
but don't exclude.
Titan's (S)
hydrocarbon-rich atmosphere is a possible biosphere, though the
surface temperatures are very low. The Cassini
mission placed the Huygens lander safely on Titan's surface in
January 2005. Data are still being analyzed to determine the viability
of a biosphere.
Comet nuclei: ice, often with an apparent organic molecule coating;
temperatures low; could act as "portable reservoirs" of organisms
Overall: primitive lifeforms are possible in several settings, but remote
detection is unlikely. Must search "in situ."
F. INTELLIGENT LIFE ELSEWHERE
Warning
This is a fascinating but virtually 100% speculative subject. There
is a paucity of facts, understanding, and imagination, and this leads
to a wealth of conjecture and controversy. There is also the danger
of carbon or planetary chauvinism.
E.g.: Intelligent life need not be confined to planets or even
planetary systems. Why not an sentient interstellar gas cloud? This
idea was explored in the famous science fiction novel The Black Cloud by astronomer Fred Hoyle.
The Drake Equation
The Drake Equation, named after
astronomer Frank Drake, was a first attempt to estimate the number of
advanced technical civilizations in our Galaxy capable of undertaking
interstellar communication. Here are the elements in the Drake
estimate based on our current understanding:
There are 100 billion stars in our Galaxy
Assume 0.001% - 5% of the stars have Earth-like planets.
Support? Recent detection of extra-solar planets. Even though
most of these are Jupiter-class, rather than Earth-size, most
astronomers expect that the fraction of stars with Earth-like planets
will prove to be of order 5% or larger. This is at the high end of
the range considered plausible over the last 30 years.
Assume all develop life leading to advanced civilizations (Earth
is average)
"Earth is average" is the Copernican assumption, which has proved
so successful in studies of the structure of our universe. However,
we have very little intuition here, and some biologists would argue
that the chances of developing technological species are small.
Assume the communication phase lasts 10,000 years.
Note: we have only recently entered this phase. It has been 80 years
since we developed commercial radio stations that could be detected
in interplanetary space. Our artificially generated EM radiation is
the most definitive marker of advanced lifeforms on this planet.
Combine all above. ===> 10 - 10,000 communicating civilizations
in our Galaxy
===> Distance to nearest: 10,000 - 1000 light years
The quantities entering the Drake calculation under items (3) and
(4) are highly uncertain and controversial. But the point is that no one
can presently exclude the possibility that a large number (10,000!) of
advanced civilizations currently reside in our Galaxy.
Interstellar migration/exploration:
The estimated separation between advanced civilizations, 1000-10000
LY, is obviously a large distance. But it could be traversed with
foreseeable technology on cosmically short time scales. Our
own spacecraft (Pioneer, Voyager), launched only 20 years after we
began a space program(!), have already left the Solar System.
Remember that 10 million years is a short time in the cosmic
context. Even at propagation velocities far below the speed of light,
civilizations could rapidly explore the Galaxy.
"Where are they?"
A famous question, now called the "Fermi
Paradox" because it was first raised by physicist Enrico Fermi in
the 1950's, is therefore: "Why aren't they here?"
If interstellar expansion is possible for thousands of Galactic
species, there ought to be aliens cluttering up the Solar System. We
don't see them, so is this argument wrong?
All answers to the question are sheer
speculation, but I think the best is: "They are here, but we don't
recognize them."
SETI = "Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence"
A key alternative to interstellar travel would be EM
communication, probably in the radio or optical EM bands
Several passive
listening, radio search programs are active. Most sophisticated
are those operated by the SETI Institute, once a well-financed NASA program but
killed by Congressional scepticism and now running on private
contributions.
G. UFO'S, ALIEN ARTIFACTS
Some people, most not active scientists, claim that there is actually
good evidence for spacefaring aliens in our solar system.
UFO's?
See Guide 18 and links therein. There
is no credible evidence that an intelligent species (other than our
own) is involved in the UFO phenomenon. An overwhelmingly strong media influence
governs the number & similarity of reports. Publicity can
even provoke mild mass hysteria (e.g. alien abduction claims).
Alien artifacts?
There have been a number of claims of physical evidence for an alien presence. One of the
most interesting is the face on Mars, a partially-illuminated feature
in the Cydonia region of Mars imaged (poorly) by the Viking spacecraft
(1970's) and looking like a carved human head. This elicited
speculation about civilizations on Mars, some of which is discussed here.
In April 1998, the Mars Global
Surveyor was retargeted to image the same region at much higher
resolution. Several good images were returned, showing the fully illuminated "face"
to be an unambiguously natural feature. Yet
better images have been
more recently obtained by the Mars Express orbiter.
H. THE RECOGNITION CHASM
There is a much more fundamental problem in communicating with alien
civilizations than their distance from us.
The mean age difference between two
Galactic species is likely to be 100's of millions of years.
Under favorable conditions, successful advanced lifeforms
may have continued evolution for a large fraction of that time.
(Once they reach a certain level of development, they become
immune to the more serious astronomical hazards for lifeforms,
such as asteroid impacts and stellar evolution.)
The age separation is much more important than the
spatial separation
====> us : them ~ goldfish : us
Since recognition and communication is possible only for
cultures in close intellectual proximity,
====> Aliens would appear to be natural
phenomena.
Reading for this lecture:
Study Guide 23
Bennett textbook, Chapter 24
Optional Reading:
Are We Alone? by J. Trefil & R. Rood (Clemons Lib: QB 54.R55) The Biological Universe: The Twentieth Century Extraterrestrial
Life Debate and the Limits of Science by Steven J. Dick (SciEngr Lib:
QB 54.D47 1996). Rare Earth: Why Complex Life is Uncommon in the Universe
by Peter Douglas Ward & Donald Brownlee. (QB54.W336.2000). Lonely Planets: The Natural Philosophy of Alien Life by
David Grinspoon
Web Links:
Talk.Origins (a thorough web discussion
of evolution vs. creationism) Science, Evolution, and Creationism
(2008 report from the National Academy of Sciences)
Good summaries of development of life on Earth: